Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Predictions, and Start Time: 2025 NBA Picks for Jan. 22
The Golden State Warriors face off against the Sacramento Kings in a pivotal Pacific Division matchup on Wednesday night. The Warriors are looking to rebound from a tough 125-85 loss to the Boston Celtics on Monday, while the Kings are riding high after a commanding 123-100 victory over the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Golden State (21-21) has struggled lately, losing five of their last eight games, and sits at 10-10 on the road this season. Sacramento (22-20), on the other hand, has won nine of their last 10 games and is 12-12 on their home court.
Injuries will play a factor in this contest, with the Warriors missing Draymond Green (calf), Jonathan Kuminga (ankle), and Brandin Podziemski (abdominal). Meanwhile, the Kings report no injuries. Tipoff from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET.
Sacramento enters the game as 7.5-point favorites, according to the latest SportsLine consensus odds. The over/under for total points scored is set at 230.5. On the money line, the Kings are listed at -291 (risk $291 to win $100), while the Warriors are at +234 (risk $100 to win $234). Before finalizing your picks, consider the insights from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Proven Track Record of Success
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has delivered significant betting profits, generating over $10,000 for $100 players on top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. Entering Week 14 of the 2024-25 NBA season, the model is on an impressive 136-99 run for all top-rated picks, yielding returns of over $3,000. Those following the model on sportsbooks or betting apps have reaped substantial rewards.
Now, the model has analyzed the Warriors vs. Kings matchup in depth and locked in its predictions. Below are key betting lines and insights:
- Spread: Sacramento -7.5
- Over/Under: 230.5 points
- Money Line: Sacramento -291, Golden State +234
- Streaming: FuboTV (free trial available)
Why the Kings Could Cover
The Kings’ offense has been on fire, led by point guard De’Aaron Fox, who is averaging 25.9 points, 6.3 assists, and 5.2 rebounds in 39 games this season. Fox comes into the game fresh off a double-double performance against Washington, tallying 12 points and 13 assists. Earlier in January, Fox recorded another double-double with 20 points and 11 rebounds against Milwaukee.
Small forward DeMar DeRozan has also been a consistent force, scoring 20 or more points in his last six games. In a thrilling 132-127 victory over the Houston Rockets on Jan. 16, DeRozan posted 33 points, five rebounds, and four assists. He followed that performance with 24 points, six rebounds, and two steals in the win against Washington. DeRozan is averaging 21.5 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.8 assists this season.
With Sacramento having won each of the last three matchups against Golden State, including a dominant 129-99 road win on Jan. 5, they’re in a strong position to cover the spread.
Why the Warriors Could Cover
Despite their recent struggles, the Warriors still have weapons in their arsenal, starting with point guard Stephen Curry. In 34 games this season, Curry is averaging 22.9 points, 6.1 assists, and 4.9 rebounds. He remains one of the league’s best shooters, connecting on 44.8% of his field goals, 40.9% from beyond the arc, and an incredible 93.9% of his free throws. Curry scored 26 points, six assists, and five rebounds in a win over Washington last weekend.
Small forward Andrew Wiggins has also stepped up for Golden State, posting a double-double with 31 points and 11 rebounds in the same game. It marked his second double-double of the season, with his first coming in a Christmas Day clash against the Los Angeles Lakers, where he scored 21 points and grabbed 12 boards. Wiggins is averaging 16.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.3 assists in 36 starts this season.
Golden State’s ability to cover the spread will hinge on Curry and Wiggins’ performances, along with contributions from their supporting cast.
Final Predictions and Best Bets
The SportsLine model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times, and the results are in. The model predicts a combined score under 230.5 points, projecting 224 total points. Additionally, it indicates one side of the spread has nearly a 60% chance of hitting.
To find out which team the model recommends, visit SportsLine for the complete analysis and picks. The model’s proven track record and detailed simulations make it a valuable resource for bettors seeking an edge.
Who wins Warriors vs. Kings, and which side of the spread has the edge? Visit SportsLine now to see the top picks, all from a model on a 136-99 run on top-rated NBA picks, and start making informed bets today.
